Showing posts with label Elo rankings. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Elo rankings. Show all posts

22.10.13

Wembley Wizards?

England were not merely beaten. They were bewildered – run to a standstill, made to appear utterly inferior by a team whose play was as cultured and beautiful as I ever expect to see
Ivan Sharpe

Some teams enter into the mythology of football for sustained success, whilst others cement their places in history by one remarkable result. The Wembley Wizards of 1928 were a curious anomaly.
England had only beaten Scotland 6 times in the 20th century, and they hadn't won the British Home Championship outright since 1913.
England and Scotland had shared the Championship in 1927, when  England had registered a rare victory in Glasgow.
In 1928 one could have expected any showdown between England and Scotland as being a de facto world championship. Sadly neither team played much foreign opposition in those days, and even in countries whose abilities and reputations were advanced (Argentina, Uruguay, Austria, Italy) the English and Scottish  game was still revered as being  the pinnacle of football.  But if we look at the 1928 British Home Championships we will see that all was not well on either side of Hadrian's Wall.
The England Scotland match was the piece de resistance in the calender and was traditionally the finale of the championships. 
The season began disastrously for England- they lost 2-0 to Ireland in Belfast (Ireland's 4th win in matches between the 2). The following week Scotland managed a 2-2 draw with Wales in Wrexham (the Scots had never had much joy at the Racecourse) . The third match, played a month later saw England slump to a rare home defeat at the hands of Wales. 
The Championship resumed in February with a win for Wales in Ireland followed by an Irish victory over the Scots.  The final match was therefore a wooden spoon decider, with the table showing  Wales with 5 points from 3 games, Ireland 4 from 3, Scotland 1 from 2, England 0 from 2. 
A home win for England would have lifted them to third. 
Scotland though must surely have fancied their chances against such a miserable England side. 



The Scottish press, however, were less than confident, The Daily Record  stating in the build up to the match:
It's not a great side and the Scottish football public were unimpressed by the number of English based players in the selection. 

Here's the team:


Jack Harkness- Queens Park

Jimmy Nelson- Cardiff City
Tommy Law - Chelsea
Jimmy Gibson - Aston Villa
Tom Bradshaw- Bury
Jimmy McMullan- Manchester City
Alex Jackson- Huddersfield Town
Jimmy Dunn- Hibernian
Hughie Gallacher- Newcastle United
Alex James- Preston North End
Alan Morton- Glasgow Rangers


Not a great side? there are 4 legendary names in the list (Jackson, Gallacher, James and Morton). I guess the Scots were smarting from their poor showing in the earlier games.


80,000 saw Alex Jackson put Scotland ahead in the 3rd minute. Alex James doubled the lead in the 44th. In the second half Scotland were dominant. Jackson got his second (65) and James made it 4-0 (74). Jackson completed his hat trick on 85. Alan Morton was particularly effective, providing assists for 3 of the goals. England got a consolation goal in the last minute. 
It was a humbling experience for England to be beaten so comprehensively on their home turf by their oldest rivals, the first time they had conceded 5 goals in a game since 1883.

The table for the British Home Championship that season makes miserable reading for England:

W
D
L
F
A
Pts
Wales
2
1
0
6
4
5
Ireland
2
0
1
4
2
4
Scotland
1
1
1
7
4
3
England
0
0
3
2
9
0

So, a case of a poor Scotland side beating a dreadful England? 
The retrospective Elo ratings  place England at 16 after this game (their lowest ever) and Scotland at 4.

15.9.13

Denmark- early internationals

If the ELO Ranking system is applied retrospectively, Denmark become the World number 1 ranked side on  17.5.1914.
This followed victory over the Netherlands in their 13th international. 

Denmark's first official international had seen them kick off international tournament football at the 1908 Olympic Games :


1908


Date

Venue
19.10.08
Denmark
9
0
France B
London White City

Denmark took 10 minutes to open their account in international football, Nils Middelboe  opening the scoring. They were 4 up at half time.  Vilhelm Wolfhagen got 4 goals as Denmark romped home. Sofus Nielsen got the 9th.
Denmark’s trainer was Charlie Williams- the former Manchester City goalkeeper.

22.10.08
Denmark
17
1
France A
London White City

Sofus Nielsen had scored a hat trick by the 7th minute. He went on to get 10 goals in all. Wolfhagen got another 4.  3 days into their international football history Denmark had clocked up 26 goals, 11 of them by Nielsen.
French football had 2 governing bodies at the time, both of whom entered teams for the Olympics. The A and B designation does not reflect the merit of the teams, theoretically they were equals.

24.10.08
England Amateurs (GB)
2
0
Denmark
London White City

The Olympic Final.
This is not a bad result when one considers the drubbings that England’s Amateurs routinely meted out.  In the 10th match played by the selection, this was the narrowest victory they had achieved.

05.05.10
Denmark
2
1
England Amateurs 
Copenhagen

Quite a sensational result. Poor weather conditions, goals from  Lindgren (10.) and Wolfhagen (75.)

21.10.11
England Amateurs 
3
0
Denmark
London  Park Royal

Was Martin Axel Tufvesson the Faroe Islands’ first international footballer? England sportingly allowed a substitution when goalkeeper Hansen broke his ankle.

30.06.12
Denmark
7
0
Norway
Stockholm

The Stockholm Olympics. 3 goals from Ole Anton Olsen on debut.

02.07.12
Denmark
4
1
Netherlands
Stockholm

04.07.12
England Amateurs (GB)
4
2
Denmark
Stockholm

The Olympic Final.
Charles von Buchwald left the pitch injured after 30 minutes, with England leading 2-1. Denmark battled hard but this turned out to be a routine victory for the British side.

06.10.12
Denmark
3
1
Germany
Copenhagen

The Danish public were now more football minded. 10,000 were at this game. Nils Middelboe had played in every one of Denmark’s matches to date, and he got 2 goals here.

25.05.13
Denmark
8
0
Sweden
Copenhagen

05.10.13
Sweden
0
10
Denmark
Stockholm

Poul Nielsen got a hat trick in each half.

26.10.13
Germany
1
4
Denmark
Hamburg

All 4 goals for Poul Nielsen.

17.05.14
Denmark
4
3
Netherlands
Copenhagen

1-3 down at half time. 3 goals for Poul Nielsen.





Sofus Neilsen 

Nils Middelboe 
Poul Nielsen

Denmark and Sweden in 1913- the 10-0 game. 

21.9.12

Retrospective Elo rankings 1873-1937

The Elo rating system, borrowed from chess, has been applied to international football since 1997. Of course, using the formulae, matches can also be analysed retrospectively, so we can see the Elo weighting of matches and ranking of countries at any point in the history of the international game.
Here I have attempted to trace the number one ranking from the second ever international match up until 1937.

1. England get number one ranking for the first victory in international football, a 4-2 win over Scotland at Kennington Oval, London on 8.3.1873. They hold on to the number one spot for 3 seasons...

2. Scotland take first place following a 3-0 win over England at West of Scotland Cricket Ground, Glasgow on 4.3.1876. They stay at the top for16 years...


Harry Daft- England captain, 1892


           
3. England's 2-0 win over Ireland at Belfast's Solitude ground on 5.3.1892 elevates them to first place, where they remain  until  29.2.1904, however, before Scotland's next fixture,(4.) England reclaim number one ranking the following month beating Ireland 3-1 in Belfast.


Denmark 1914




5. Denmark break the British hegemony, beating Netherlands 4-3 in Copenhagen 17.5.1914 puts them at number 1. they maintain this position for the majority of the 1914-18 period. They slip into (virtual) 2nd place on 16.6.1918, regaining top spot with a win over Sweden on        20.10.1918.

6. After most football is suspended during the war, England return to the top of the rankings when Denmark lose 3-2 to Norway (21.9.1919).



Netherlands 1920


7. On 5.4.1920 Netherlands beat Denmark 2-0 at to go top of the rankings.
Uruguay 1920



8. 25.7.1920 sees the  world number one ranking move outside Europe as Uruguay claim the honour with a  3-1 over Argentina in Buenos Aires.







9. A 5-4 win over Sweden in the Antwerp Olympics sees Netherlands return to the top on 29.8.1920.


Spain 1920


10. Seven days later in the same tournament the Netherlands lose 3-1 to new top seeds, Spain.






11. Later that month the title passed south of the Equator once more as Uruguay's 6-0 win over Brazil in a Copa America match in Chile placed them back at the top of the rankings on 18.9.1920.





12. Spain returned to top spot following a 2-0 home win over Belgium on 9.10.1921



13. 25.5.1924- Spain lose 1-0 to Italy in the Olympics at Colombes. Meanwhile, Argentina and Uruguay are playing each other simultaneously in two fixtures- they are 2nd and 3rd string Uruguayan teams as the main selection is in France for the Olympiad. However, they finish the day back at the top of the world rankings. They slip into virtual 2nd for 4 days in August 1925 following a surprise defeat at the hands of Paraguay, but effectively are world number ones until September 1925.





14.  27.9.1925Spain beat Austria 1-0 in Vienna to reclaim the top ranking.





15. 16.10.1926- In the Copa America at Chile Argentina move top after beating Bolivia 5-0.







16. Eight days later Uruguay beat Argentina 2-0 and replace them at the top of the rankings.




José Nasazzi and  Fernando Paternoster  1929



17. 16.6.1929- Argentina 2 Uruguay 0 at Buenos Aries.






18. 20.9.1929Uruguay 2 Argentina 1 at Montevideo.




Argentina 1929



19. 1929's Copa America saw another trans River Plate swap- on November 1st Uruguay lost 3-0 to Paraguay, putting Argentina back in first place in the Elo table. they retained this position despite being beaten by their neighbours in the final of the 1930 world Cup.



Austria 1934

20. No change until the Italy 1934 World Cup- on 27th May Argentina lost 3-2 to Sweden and Austria beat France 3-2 . Consequently Argentina and Austria traded places.



Italy 1934

21. June 3rd- Italy beat Austria 1-0 in the semi final of the world cup- Italy become the number one ranked team, and hold the position until the end of our era of interest and beyond...